Paulie's Picks: 2017 Dell Technologies Championship

DJ’s playoff win last week means that is nine winners picked this calendar year. Let’s try and make it 10 this week! The Tour heads to TPC Boston for the Dell Technology Championship formerly known as the Deutsche Bank Championship. This course tends to favor bombers who can fill their scorecard with birdies. The course features many of bunkers that can be carried by the longest players and par five performance has been a historically important metric for those who have succeeded at this event. The weather this week looks pretty interesting as record lows are expected Friday night in combination with the potential for rain and wind. There may be an advantage to the early or late tee time draw but it is too early to tell. To keep up to date on all things fantasy golf related, follow me on Twitter @friedeggpaulie

DraftKings

My roster construction for tournaments this week will be to fade DJ and Spieth and load up on guys between $8,000 and $10,000 in my lineups. I expect DJ and Spieth both to be heavily owned due to their performance last week. I think the best chance of taking down a big tournament on DK is to try and hit a winner in the middle to high salary range.

Louis Oosthuizen $9,100

Louis always seems to go under owned in tournaments no matter how great his current form or course history is. At $9,100, I think many casual players will overlook him. He finished 8th in 2016, 12th in 2015 and 2nd in 2012 at this event. He has some great recent form finishing 2nd at the PGA and 10th at the Northern Trust. Louis is one of the best iron players around and should take advantage of the slightly wider fairways since he tends to spray it a bit off the tee.

Paul Casey $8,900

I expect Paul Casey to be one of the higher owned players in his salary tier. He has finished 26th or better in 12 of his last 13 events. He was runner up at TPC Boston last year. It’s hard to pass up the consistency and upside that Casey provides. Can Casey breakthrough and finally enter the winner’s circle this year? 

Kevin Chappell $8,600

Chappell’s back is against the wall in his bid to make the President’s Cup team. A good performance could move him from 11th in points to inside the top 10. I look for him to have a solid week to solidify his place on the team. He has been playing great of late finishing 8th,13th, 33rd and 6th in his last four events. He also should feel comfortable at TPC Boston as shown by finishing in the top 12 in the last two years there. I think he is at a unique price point where the casual player will choose guys like Garcia, Reed, Casey, Kuchar or Koepka instead of choosing Chappell. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him come in at under 10% ownership this week which could prove pretty valuable in large tournaments.

One and Done

Rory McIlroy

Rory has won twice in the last five years at TPC Boston. Even though he is injured and not playing great, he still carries an immense amount of upside.

Jason Day

Jason Day’s game seems to have finally turned the corner. He is hitting irons much better now which is setting him up for more makeable birdie putts and he has been making more than his fair share of those lately. Day has finished 6th and 9th in his last two events. He has finished in the top 15 in his last four appearances at TPC Boston.

Patrick Reed

If you are looking for a super low owned option in your league and want to ride the hot hand, then Patrick Reed is your man. Reed has gone 20th and 2nd in his last two events has finished in the top 5 in his last two appearances at TPC Boston.

Longshot to Win:

Jason Kokrak 125-1 to win (9-1 top 10)

Kokrak finished 8th in 2016 and 16th in 2014 at TPC Boston. He is fresh off off three straight top 33 finishes. That’s more than enough reason to toss some shekels on him for a top 10.
 

 

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