Well, this is going to be a fun week! With Oakmont being one of the toughest courses in the country, a premium will be placed on ball striking and the ability to get up and down from the thick rough.
The US Open is one of the unique events where we have players from all over the world competing on a course that many pros have not played much. This makes it very difficult to determine who will succeed this week. Now I'm sure you know that guys like Jason Day, Dustin Johnson and Matt Kuchar are playing some great golf right now, so I'm not gonna call those guys out in this post.
One of the biggest discrepancies in salary pricing on DraftKings for majors occurs with players who play overseas the majority of the time (i.e. Willett, Kjelden and Westwood at Augusta). I see some value with Euro players this week. Even beyond the literal value, they are great to put in your lineup since they will have low ownership percentages. This can give you a big advantage in the DraftKings Millionaire Maker contest this week should one of them finish high.
Here are some players who may be mispriced and will allow you to fit some of the top players in your lineup. I'll also provide my two surprise picks to win this week (not who you would expect).
Rafael Cabrera-Bello - $6,800
One of the best ball strikers in the world, Bello has been on fire this year. He has made 11/12 cuts including 4 top-4 finishes. With his irons and high marks in accuracy off the tee, Bello could be on the leaderboard come Sunday.
Chris Wood - $6,600
Known as one of the best scramblers on the Euro Tour, Wood has played extremely well as of late. He is coming off a 6th place finish in Austria last week and a victory a few weeks earlier at the BMW PGA Championship at Wentworth(another difficult course that requires patience, accuracy and a great short game). I look for Wood to continue his good play this week as he flies under the radar relatively unknown to the general public in the US.
Gregory Bourdy - $6,300
Bourdy is the model of consistency, which is a trait that will help him at Oakmont. I've been on the Bourdy train the last few weeks, and he has led me to high finishes on DK in the Euro events. With such a reduced salary, it is hard not to play a guy who hasn't missed a cut in 3 months and has 3 consecutive top-15 finishes (including the BMW PGA championship).
Andrew “Beef” Johnston - $6,100
Even though his name and stature may suggest that he is a professional wrestler, Beef is a star in the making both inside and outside the ropes on the Euro Tour. He plays very well on difficult courses, as evidenced by his victory last month at the Open de España at Valderamma and a 7th place finish at the BMW PGA Championship. On top of that, he finished 12th last week in Austria. Look for Beef to not be afraid of the big moment and maybe even become a household name with a good showing this week.
Surprise Picks to Win:
Brooks Koepka - $8,100
Fresh off back-to-back runner-up finishes, Koepka is ready to break through. His metrics for this course fit extremely well. He is one of the top players on Tour putting from 3-5 feet and 5-10 feet, both of which will be needed a bunch due to Oakmont’s fast greens and thick rough. On top of that, Koepka has been driving the ball well lately and has the ability to muscle it out of the rough as he is one of the strongest players on Tour. His mold is eerily similar to Angel Cabrera who won here in 2007… a smooth swinging bomber who can make the short putts when needed.
Phil Mickelson - $9,300
After ying for 2nd in Memphis with Koepka, Mickelson looks to complete the Grand Slam. Mickelson has made an absurd 23/25 cuts at the US Open (full disclosure: he did miss the cut at the 2007 Open at Oakmont by 1 shot while dealing with wrist issues). With Phil’s ability to perform magic around the greens and his solid short putting, look for Phil to have a chance come Sunday.